More Taxes Equals More Revenues?

More Taxes Equals More Revenues?

Not so fast.

The fundamental law of economics are always at work to defy conventional wisdom.

Here is a great example.

From Reuters, (bold highlights mine)

Cash-strapped Bulgaria and Romania hoped taxing cigarettes would be an easy way to raise money but the hikes are driving smokers to a growing black market instead.

Criminal gangs and impoverished Roma communities near borders with countries where prices are lower -- Serbia, Macedonia, Moldova and Ukraine -- have taken to smuggling which has wiped out gains from higher excise duties.

Bulgaria increased taxes by nearly half this year and stepped up customs controls and police checks at shops and markets. Customs office data, however, shows tax revenues from cigarette sales so far in 2010 have fallen by nearly a third.

"The government created something unique. We actually now have a whole industry that provides for a big group of people," said Tihomir Bezlov of anti-corruption think-tank Center for the Study of Democracy.

Cato’s Dan Mitchell calls this the wonkish Laffer Curve at work.

But I like Professor Mark Perry’s simple quote, “If you tax something, you get less of it”

The higher the taxes, the likelihood of a larger informal economy, smuggling, corruption and inefficient allocation of resources as shown above.

Even the IMF has pointed this out as we have shown in an earlier post