Tuesday, January 04, 2011

How Global Equity Markets Performed in 2010

Here is the tabulation of the final returns of global equities for the year 2010 (based in local currency; courtesy of Bespoke Invest)

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Contrary to the prognostications by the mainstream, most equity markets posted positive gains. (Double dip, where?) Only 19 national benchmarks suffered losses or 22% out of the 83. Again this may seem like a rising tide phenomenon.

While emerging markets peripheries led gainers, some developed economies such as Denmark and Sweden posted significant gains of over 20%, whereas Austria, Norway and Germany posted above 15% increases (European crisis anyone?).

More on Europe: Obviously the tailenders had been those directly hit by crisis—Greece Spain and Italy. But the divergent performances between crisis and non-crisis economies suggest of insulation and not of a contagion—again which the mainstream significantly misread.

The top 10 represented a mélange of emerging markets. Nevertheless the rankings can be seen in the following order: South Asia, Eastern Europe, Southeast Asia and Latin American EM’s.

The Philippine Phisix ranked 11th.

G-7 and BRICs had mixed performances. The race of 2010 belonged to the EM peripheries.

For 2011, I don’t think there would be much of a difference, except that I expect BRICs, who dominated 2009, to vastly improve their showing this year and possibly close on the gap with EM peripheries.

I certainly don't share the opinion that developed countries with all its internal tethers to outperform EM economies (periphery or the BRIC).

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