Price Controls Equals Russia’s Looming Gasoline Shortages

Basic laws of economics always prevail over ‘noble’ political edicts.

That’s how events are turning out in Russia.

From the Wall Street Journal, (bold highlights mine)

The world's biggest oil producer Russia is facing gasoline shortages in some parts of the country, as prices are kept artificially low, leading producers to cash in on higher fuel prices abroad.

Russian car-owners are seeing petrol stations halt operations across the country, following an order by Prime Minister Vladimir Putin in February to investigate steep increases in gasoline prices, which led producers to ship more fuel for exports.

Russia consumes about half of the 10 million barrels it produces a day domestically, but prices on oil products, including gasoline, are kept artificially low. The government's attempt to control gasoline prices is just one of several measures aimed at curbing inflation—a key political issue with elections less than a year away, as higher gasoline prices could hurt Mr. Putin's popularity.

Russia's antimonopoly agency has repeatedly accused the country's top oil producers such as OAO Rosneft, OAO Lukoil Holdings and TNK-BP Ltd. of increasing prices for diesel and jet fuel.

After gasoline prices rose at the end of last year and another 4% in January, Prime Minister Vladimir Putin in February warned the country's top oil executives against price fixing. Mr. Putin accused them of trying to "crudely exact maximum gains" and vowed more oversight of the fuel business, effectively capping prices. As a result, prices declined both in February and March, despite the continued surge in global crude prices.

"The domestic prices are being held artificially low due to pressure from regulatory authorities," TNK-BP's Chief Financial Officer Jonathan Muir said Wednesday.

As we earlier pointed out, the inflation cycle appears to be gradually playing out around the world.

The cycle goes: Government first engages in inflationism. Then government blames these (called as price gouging) on the ‘greed’ of speculators and market players. Finally the government imposes price controls. The effect: Price controls fuel more distortions (via shortages) which translates to more higher prices.

Governments essentially adapts the fallacy of “two wrongs make a right”, when denial only worsens the problem.

It’s vicious cycle practiced over 4 centuries that has always failed, yet political leaders everywhere never ever seem to learn. They are so predictable.