From Christian Science Monitor,
Rep. Ron Paul of Texas is now leading the pack in Iowa as Newt Gingrich's support fades.
Paul now has the vote of 23 percent of 597 likely Republican caucus voters, according to Public Policy Polling, in a survey taken from Dec. 16-18. Mitt Romneyis close behind at 20 percent, while Gingrich as slipped dramatically to 14 percent. Fourth place is a dead heat between Rick Santorum, Michele Bachmann, and Rick Perry at 10 percent. While Jon Huntsman is gaining traction in New Hampshire, in Iowa he's only got 4 percent of the likely voters. Gary Johnson comes in at 2 percent.
I still don’t expect Ron Paul to win the GOP nominations as I have said earlier here.
But there is always the black swan phenomenon—low probability high impact event—which has been a conventional feature of human action dynamics, where even some distinguished mathematicians acknowledge or admit as a key source of randomness or uncertainty or unpredictability.
Importantly, my hope is that my earlier expectations have vastly been misplaced.
Nevertheless, Ron Paul’s amazing performance can be construed as signs of the progressing diffusion of the classical liberal creed.
And despite all the attempts by mainstream media to censor and dismiss Ron Paul as a credible candidate, current developments seem to show how Mr. Paul has been incredibly defying the odds.
Perhaps signs of these seem evident in Ron Paul’s warm reception at an interview with Jay Leno
When Jay Leno asked about Ron Paul’s remarkable drawing of the young voters given Mr. Paul’s platform and despite his age, I would add to Mr. Paul’s answer—freedom represents an everlasting principle with fresh applications.
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