Warren Buffett versus his Dad Howard Buffett on Gold

Warren Buffett has long been averse to gold as an investment (and as part of his political philosophy), focusing on the polemics that gold does not account for a productive asset.

In a recent Fortune article he continues with this line of rant. (bold emphasis mine)

The major asset in this category is gold, currently a huge favorite of investors who fear almost all other assets, especially paper money (of whose value, as noted, they are right to be fearful). Gold, however, has two significant shortcomings, being neither of much use nor procreative. True, gold has some industrial and decorative utility, but the demand for these purposes is both limited and incapable of soaking up new production. Meanwhile, if you own one ounce of gold for an eternity, you will still own one ounce at its end.

What motivates most gold purchasers is their belief that the ranks of the fearful will grow. During the past decade that belief has proved correct. Beyond that, the rising price has on its own generated additional buying enthusiasm, attracting purchasers who see the rise as validating an investment thesis. As "bandwagon" investors join any party, they create their own truth -- for a while…

Whether the currency a century from now is based on gold, seashells, shark teeth, or a piece of paper (as today), people will be willing to exchange a couple of minutes of their daily labor for a Coca-Cola or some See's peanut brittle. In the future the U.S. population will move more goods, consume more food, and require more living space than it does now. People will forever exchange what they produce for what others produce.

Our country's businesses will continue to efficiently deliver goods and services wanted by our citizens. Metaphorically, these commercial "cows" will live for centuries and give ever greater quantities of "milk" to boot. Their value will be determined not by the medium of exchange but rather by their capacity to deliver milk. Proceeds from the sale of the milk will compound for the owners of the cows, just as they did during the 20th century when the Dow increased from 66 to 11,497 (and paid loads of dividends as well).

It’s bizarre to see Mr. Buffett argue about the non-productive role of gold yet imply of gold’s potential as a currency or as money.

Mr. Buffett ignores that, money, to quote the great Murray N. Rothbard, forges the connecting link between all economic activities. This only means that any massive debasement of the currency, which again is used as link to all economic activities, will undermine the division of labor which thereby erodes the productive capacity of an economy (and specifically Mr. Buffett’s or anyone’s investments or ‘capacity to deliver milk’).

In short, it would be a serious gaffe to think that economic activities can be isolated from the ever changing conditions of money. Thus, his objection that gold represents a non-productive asset is essentially a non-sequitur.

And obviously Mr. Buffett admits to such spurious reasoning through some of his actions in his flagship Berkshire Hathaway: (bold emphasis added)

Under today's conditions, therefore, I do not like currency-based investments. Even so, Berkshire holds significant amounts of them, primarily of the short-term variety. At Berkshire the need for ample liquidity occupies center stage and will never be slighted, however inadequate rates may be.

So Mr. Buffett holds non-gold currency based investments in spite of his reluctance to incorporate them as part of his portfolio. So Mr. Buffett practices a deny but apply strategy.

And finally, here is another blatant inconsistency in his letter

Berkshire's goal will be to increase its ownership of first-class businesses. Our first choice will be to own them in their entirety -- but we will also be owners by way of holding sizable amounts of marketable stocks

The folksy Mr. Buffett is not being candid at all.

Today, his investments have not been about taking on first-class ‘efficiently deliver goods and services wanted by our citizens’ but rather on businesses that heavily relies on government’s support. For instance Mr. Buffett has profited from Obama’s anti-competition energy policies such as the Keystone pipeline controversy, and earlier, Mr. Buffett also profited immensely by participating in the various bailouts conducted by the US government in the US financial system.

In short, Mr. Buffett has morphed from value investor to a political entrepreneur or a crony. This hardly represents the ideals Mr. Buffett has been preaching about.

And importantly the sage of Omaha’s actions runs to the contrary against the virtues espoused by his venerable father Mr. Howard Buffett, the staunch ‘old right’ libertarian.

My guess is that Mr. Buffett’s antipathy towards gold has really nothing to do with economics (which he uses as a flimsy cover or camouflage) but could most likely represent a personal issue—specifically based on an implicit division with his father (for whatever reasons)

Here is an excerpt on Mr. Howard Buffett’s celebrated treatise on “Human Freedom Rests on Gold Redeemable Money”

Far away from Congress is the real forgotten man, the taxpayer who foots the bill. He is in a different spot from the tax-eater or the business that makes millions from spending schemes. He cannot afford to spend his time trying to oppose Federal expenditures. He has to earn his own living and carry the burden of taxes as well.

But for most beneficiaries a Federal paycheck soon becomes vital in his life. He usually will spend his full energies if necessary to hang onto this income.

The taxpayer is completely outmatched in such an unequal contest. Always heretofore he possessed an equalizer. If government finances weren't run according to his idea of soundness he had an individual right to protect himself by obtaining gold.

With a restoration of the gold standard, Congress would have to again resist handouts. That would work this way. If Congress seemed receptive to reckless spending schemes, depositors' demands over the country for gold would soon become serious. That alarm in turn would quickly be reflected in the halls of Congress. The legislators would learn from the banks back home and from the Treasury officials that confidence in the Treasury was endangered.

Congress would be forced to confront spending demands with firmness. The gold standard acted as a silent watchdog to prevent unlimited public spending.

I have only briefly outlined the inability of Congress to resist spending pressures during periods of prosperity. What Congress would do when a depression comes is a question I leave to your imagination.

I have not time to portray the end of the road of all paper money experiments.

It is worse than just the high prices that you have heard about. Monetary chaos was followed in Germany by a Hitler; in Russia by all-out Bolshevism; and in other nations by more or less tyranny. It can take a nation to communism without external influences. Suppose the frugal savings of the humble people of America continue to deteriorate in the next 10 years as they have in the past 10 years? Some day the people will almost certainly flock to "a man on horseback" who says he will stop inflation by price-fixing, wage-fixing, and rationing. When currency loses its exchange value the processes of production and distribution are demoralized.

For example, we still have rent-fixing and rental housing remains a desperate situation.

For a long time shrewd people have been quietly hoarding tangibles in one way or another. Eventually, this individual movement into tangibles will become a general stampede unless corrective action comes soon.

Mr. Warren Buffett is being exposed for his rhetorical sophistry. Besides, the markets will eventually expose on his equivocation, which apparently he has taken on some 'deny and apply' insurance. He should instead pay heed to his Dad's wisdom, if not at least follow his Dad's legacy of honesty.