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The art of economics consists in looking not merely at the immediate hut at the longer effects of any act or policy; it consists in tracing the consequences of that policy not merely for one group but for all groups—Henry Hazlitt

Showing posts with label clustering illusion. Show all posts
Showing posts with label clustering illusion. Show all posts
Sunday, August 14, 2011

How Reliable is the S&P’s ‘Death Cross’ Pattern?

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Mechanical chartists say that with the recent stock market collapse, the technical picture of the US S&P 500 have been irreparably deter...
Saturday, June 12, 2010

World Cup Indicator: Boon Or Bane?

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Will the World Cup games, which opened yesterday , portend of a bullish or bearish markets for the coming months? Frank Holmes of US Global ...
Wednesday, February 17, 2010

Seeing Patterns Where None Exist

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Below are good examples of a cognitive bias known as Clustering Illusions or seeing patterns where none exist. Such presentations depends u...
Monday, January 25, 2010

Analyzing Predictions

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“I’ve been dealing with these big mathematical models of forecasting the economy…I’ve been in the forecasting business for 50 years…I’m no b...
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