Showing posts with label forecasting. Show all posts
Showing posts with label forecasting. Show all posts
Thursday, May 14, 2015

Fed Atlanta's GDP Now Predicts 2Q US GDP at only .7%!

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Wow. All the excitement about the recent payroll growth appears to have failed to lift the Fed Atlanta's real time forecast of the US G...
Monday, October 28, 2013

Phisix: The Implication of the US Boom Bust Cycle

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We are big fans of fear, and in investing, it is clearly better to be scared than sorry. -Seth Klarman Stock markets of the US and se...
Friday, October 18, 2013

Video: Peter Schiff on The Myth Surrounding Janet Yellen's Forecasting Record

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Mainstream media glorifies i ncoming Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen's forecasting track record for supposedly having warned against the 20...
Thursday, September 05, 2013

Economic Forecasting: The Mainstream’s Horrible Track Record

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Aside from the agency problem , here is another reason why economic and market predictions or forecasts by mainstream "experts" s...
Saturday, February 23, 2013

US Fed Ben Bernanke: No Asset Bubbles

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Ben Bernanke denies that there has been an inflation of asset bubbles. From the Bloomberg , Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke...
Monday, December 31, 2012

Quote of the Day: The Illusions of Pundits

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People who spend their time, earn their living, studying a particular topic produce poorer predictions than dart-throwing monkeys who woul...
Saturday, December 17, 2011

US CPI Inflation’s Smoke and Mirror Statistics, Part 2

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In defense of their interventionist bias, the conventional question framed by mainstream statists goes around this context, “given the FED’...
Thursday, February 17, 2011

Explaining Popularity In Terms of Predictions: Dr. Nouriel Roubini’s Case

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This seems like good news to me. My favourite mainstream Keynesian bear, Nouriel Roubini, appears to have ‘capitulated’. Mr. Roubini, a popu...