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The art of economics consists in looking not merely at the immediate hut at the longer effects of any act or policy; it consists in tracing the consequences of that policy not merely for one group but for all groups—Henry Hazlitt

Showing posts with label prediction failures. Show all posts
Showing posts with label prediction failures. Show all posts
Sunday, October 19, 2025

Which Is the Black Swan for the Philippines: The Big One or War?

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  Never think that war, no matter how necessary, nor how justified, is not a crime—Ernest Hemingway   In this issue:  Which Is the Black...
Sunday, May 11, 2025

Q1 2025 5.4% GDP: The Consensus Forecast Miss and the Overton Window’s Statistical Delusion

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  The vulgar Keynesian focus on consumption unfortunately tempts politicians to approve “stimulus” measures aimed at pumping up this part of...
Sunday, August 13, 2023

"Shocking" Philippine Q2 GDP 4.3%: Don’t Fight the Trend! Public Spending Soared in Pesos! Consumers Slowdown as Big Government Becomes "Bigger"

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A ‘sound’ banker, alas, is not one who sees danger and avoids it, but one who, when he is ruined, is ruined in a conventional and orthodox w...
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