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The art of economics consists in looking not merely at the immediate hut at the longer effects of any act or policy; it consists in tracing the consequences of that policy not merely for one group but for all groups—Henry Hazlitt

Showing posts with label probability. Show all posts
Showing posts with label probability. Show all posts
Friday, June 10, 2016

SMPH’s Blowoff Phase: Will This Time Be Different???, The Taleb Distribution‏

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Charts are the most widely used tool in the stock market. It is a tool preferred by brokers because it provides retail investors the comfor...
Saturday, September 26, 2015

Infographics: 'Probability' in the Eyes of an Investment Banker

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This graph shows of a probability distribution... And this is how the above graphic applies to the "probability of destroying ...
Sunday, September 19, 2010

Distinguishing Luck From Skills In The Financial Markets

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``Luck is far more egalitarian than even intelligence. If people were rewarded strictly according to their abilities, things would still be ...
Saturday, April 17, 2010

What Are The Odds On The Next Big Volcanic Eruption?

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Here is the Economist on the odds of volcanic eruption. According to the Economist , ``ASH propelled into the atmosphere by the eruption of...
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