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The art of economics consists in looking not merely at the immediate hut at the longer effects of any act or policy; it consists in tracing the consequences of that policy not merely for one group but for all groups—Henry Hazlitt

Showing posts with label risk and uncertainty. Show all posts
Showing posts with label risk and uncertainty. Show all posts
Thursday, May 17, 2012

Greece Exit Estimated Price Tag: €155bn for Germany and France, Possible Trillions for Contagion

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Estimates have been made as to the cost of a Greece exit Writes Ambrose Pritchard at the Telegraph , (Hat tip Bob Wenzel) Eric Dor...
Monday, October 24, 2011

Numerical Probabilities as Metaphorical Expressions

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In an earlier post I argued that assigning numerical probability to what has been a constantly changing environment can be a dangerous unde...
Sunday, October 23, 2011

Applying Methodological Individualism to the Financial Markets

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I recently received a suggestion for me ‘quantify’ the probabilities of my risk scenarios. While this may represent the conventional pract...
Sunday, March 20, 2011

Managing Risk and Uncertainty With Emotional Intelligence

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If your emotional abilities aren't in hand, if you don't have self-awareness, if you are not able to manage your distressing emotion...
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