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The art of economics consists in looking not merely at the immediate hut at the longer effects of any act or policy; it consists in tracing the consequences of that policy not merely for one group but for all groups—Henry Hazlitt

Showing posts with label gamblers fallacy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label gamblers fallacy. Show all posts
Thursday, October 01, 2015

Example of Gambler’s Fallacy: The US Stock Market’s Rip on a Traditionally Down Day of September 30

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I reiterate here that neither statistics nor seasonality determines the market’s outcome.  The Bespoke Invest notes that one of the t...
Sunday, November 04, 2012

The Likely Impact of US Presidential Elections on the Stock Markets

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Thus elections, quite apart from who won them, performed a powerful cultural function for the elites. To the degree that -everyone had a ri...
Sunday, August 14, 2011

How Reliable is the S&P’s ‘Death Cross’ Pattern?

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Mechanical chartists say that with the recent stock market collapse, the technical picture of the US S&P 500 have been irreparably deter...
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