Saturday, September 26, 2009

Julian Robertson: We are going to have to Pay the Piper

CNBC interviews Julian Robertson of Tiger Management. (Hat tip: Pragmatic Capitalist)

Some important notes from Mr. Robertson:

Part I
-“We’re totally dependent now on the Chinese and Japanese”

-Inflation risk is very high

-15-20% inflation rates if the Chinese and Japanese stop financing the US

-Japanese may be forced to sell long term bonds for economic reasons

-We still haven’t attacked the problem-spend, spend, spend and borrow,borrow, borrow




Part II
-I am shorting bonds

-We are going to have to Pay the Piper and I don’t know when that is

-Interest rate are going to go up

-put brakes on the economy, earnings will go down like crazy

-If we have 20% interest rates, 20% inflation and market goes up 5% that’s not a good scenario



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