Pentagon’s climate warnings in 2003 turns out to be a bogus

The seemingly unusual heat in the Philippine capital, which has already claimed some lives, has prompted the government to issue warnings on the increasing risks of heat stroke.

And I’ve seen post hoc based comments associating high temperatures to “global warming”. This is a sign of how the public has been hardwired or brainwashed to view temperature changes as "global warming".

Unfortunately, the public doesn't realize it that the dogma of man made global warming continues to take a beating. 

The Washington Times points to a study commissioned by the Pentagon over a decade ago, which warned of the potential havoc that the world was faced from global warming. The prediction turned out to be blatantly inaccurate.

Here is the intro (ht Gary North)

Yet the 2003 report, “An Abrupt Climate Change Scenario and Its Implications for United States National Security,” is credited with kick-starting the movement that, to this day and perhaps with more vigor than ever, links climate change to national security.

The report also became gospel to climate change doomsayers, who predicted pervasive and more intense hurricanes, tornadoes, floods and droughts.

The release of this report is what likely sparked the ‘modern era’ of security interest in climate affairs,” said Jeff Kueter, president of the George C. Marshall Institute, a nonprofit that examines scientific issues that affect public policy.

“It was widely publicized and very much a tool of the political battles over climate raging at the time,” said Mr. Kueter, who sees as “tenuous” a link between U.S. security and climate change.

Prediction versus reality

Under the section “Warming up to 2010,” here are some of the report’s key scenarios, compared with what has transpired:

• By 2005, “more severe storms and typhoons bring about higher storm surges and floods.”

Today: The most recent U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report said it has “low confidence” of an increase in hurricanes or tornadoes. The U.S. is likely experiencing fewer tornadoes compared with 50 years ago, according to data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. This year’s tornado season was historically low.

The U.N. report said: “No robust trends in annual numbers of tropical storms, hurricanes and major hurricane counts have been identified over the past 100 years in the North Atlantic basin.”

In December, Roger Pielke, a scientist who has conducted extensive analysis of storm history, told a Senate panel: “There exists exceedingly little scientific support for claims found in the media and political debate that hurricanes, tornadoes, floods and droughts have increased in frequency or intensity on climate timescales either in the United States or globally.”

The U.S. has not experienced a major hurricane in nearly 10 years.

• Global temperatures will increase by 0.5 degrees Fahrenheit per decade and, in some areas, 0.5 degrees per year.

Today: Scientists skeptical of man-made climate change say satellite data show there has been no increase in 17 years. The Environmental Protection Agency, a strong climate change advocate, puts the decade increase at 0.3 degrees.

• There will be more floods, making coastal cities such as The Hague “unlivable” by 2007.

Today: The Hague is still livable.

The United Nations said this year: “There continues to be a lack of evidence and thus low confidence regarding the sign of trend in the magnitude and/or frequency of floods on a global scale.”

• “Floating ice in the northern polar seas is mostly gone during the summer by 2010.”

Today: Arctic sea ice remains. Warming in the polar region has reduced the ice extent, from 2.8 million square miles at its yearly summer minimum in 1979, when satellite measuring began, to 2.1 million square miles in 2013, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center.

• Sacramento River levees will fail, creating “an inland sea” in California that “disrupts the aqueduct system transporting water.”

Today: There are no inland seas in California.

Oh Professor North also provides as a link where 31,487 scientists from all over the US signed a petition (via PetitionProject.org) stating that…

“There is NO convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane or other greenhouse gases is causing or will, in the foreseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the Earth’s atmosphere and disruption of the Earth’s climate.”

The religion of climate change has been about promoting environmental scare stories to justify funding from the government, aimed at providing “scientific basis” for the political social engineer’s vision of expanding control over society...Or more economic and political repression in the name of environmentalism.

At the end of the day, these scare stories—backing populist politics—turn out to be a myth.