The troubled Shanghai
index opened the day again under tremendous selling pressure. The key index even stumbled to a low of 3,383
or a loss of 3.5% early session before staging an initial uneasy rally that ended the morning trade.
Following the Philippines index managers' afternoon delight pump, which involves manic panic buying after the lunch recess, the Shanghai index's rally picked
up steam post lunch to close the day with a mammoth 5.76% rebound.
Today’s gains, the
biggest one day gain since 2009, according to Bloomberg,
almost offset yesterday’s 5.9% crash.
The rally looked
broad based as “about 600
stocks rose by the daily 10 percent limit on the benchmark index” notes the
Bloomberg. All benchmarks posted substantial gains for the day.
Of course, there
has practically been no day since the emergence of the crash where the government's hand have not been attempting to quash the
panic.
The Bloomberg may haved
picked this up: (bold mine)
Officials have unveiled market-boosting measures almost every night over the past two weeks to reverse the rout in the world’s second-largest stock market. Regulators late Wednesday banned major stockholders from selling stakes in listed companies, while announcing Thursday banks can roll over loans backed by shares. China’s public security bureau is also stepping in to investigate “malicious” shorting of stocks, the official Xinhua News Agency reported Thursday.
Yet
despite the rally, the Bloomberg article adds that “another 1,439 companies were halted on mainland exchanges,
locking sellers out of 50 percent of the market”
So China’s stock
markets have become a buyers’ only market.
Hence the secret
to containing bear markets, as unraveled by the Chinese government, has been to
proscribe “selling” that have NOT conformed with the dictates of authorities. It is
"price discovery" based on political ukase.
Bloomberg
further notes that foreigners had been net sellers yesterday: Traders unloaded a record 112 billion yuan ($18 billion) of shares
purchased with borrowed money on the Shanghai exchange Wednesday, the 13th
straight day of declines. A five-fold surge in margin debt over the 12 months
through June 12 had helped propel the Shanghai index to a more than 150 percent
gain.
So the recent ruling to prohibit selling by shareowners, corporate
executives and directors with holdings
exceeding 5 percent transforms China’s stock markets into a roach motel—you
can get in but cannot get out
Yet despite the recent crash, Chinese
stocks remain very pricey. Again from Bloomberg: While the median price-to-earnings ratio in China has dropped to 53 from
108 at the height of the rally, valuations are more than twice as high as those
on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index.
Of course, the other way to look at is that this may have been an
oversold dead cat bounce.
Yet pretty soon, China’s latest anti bear market paradigm may be
embraced by political agents of other nations.
All of these measures constitute another form of capital control (financial repression). Yet capital controls have become a du jour global political tool: From Greece’s
bank holidays (and ATM cash withdrawal limits) to China’s stock market sellers’ holiday.
No comments:
Post a Comment