Showing posts with label price action. Show all posts
Showing posts with label price action. Show all posts

Wednesday, December 02, 2009

How Long Does Gold Prices Take To Hurdle Every $100 mark?

With gold above $1,200, how long does gold prices take to hurdle every $100 mark?

That's the interesting perspective proffered by Bespoke Invest as shown in the chart below.


According to Bespoke, (bold emphasis mine) ``the amount of calendar days that transpired between century marks for the price of gold. For example, after closing above 200 for the first time on 3/6/78, gold didn't close above the $300 mark for another 459 days (6/8/79). However, after closing above $300 for the first time, gold breezed through five different century marks over a span of only 223 days. In January 1980, the price of gold closed above $700 on January 15th, and then closed above $800 two days later! [that's because this marked the euphoric stage or the end of the bubble-Benson]

``And keep in mind that with each successive century mark, the percentage rally required to get to the next hurdle declines ($300 to $400 equals a 33% gain, while a rally of only 9% is needed to get from $1,100 to $1,200). If the price of gold were to stage a rally similar to the one in 1979, $1,200 gold would seem like small peanuts."[present market action reflects a cocktail of momentum, seasonal strength and importantly, driven by the concept of gold as insurance-Benson]