Showing posts with label billionaires. Show all posts
Showing posts with label billionaires. Show all posts

Saturday, December 01, 2012

World's Billionaires List: Indonesia Edges Out Japan

There are more billionaires now in Indonesia than in Japan

Forbes Indonesia’s latest list of the country’s richest people, released this week, sets its billionaire tally at a record 32 people and families, edging out Japan, which Forbes says is home to 28 billionaires. Last year Indonesia had 26 billionaires, according to Forbes’ calculations.

While the archipelago’s crowd of coal magnates was hit hard by a plunge in coal prices, the commodities collapse was more than offset by the growing wealth of the people behind the country’s top retail, media, banking, food and tobacco companies.
Many may read this as signs of relative prosperity in favor of Indonesia. Perhaps.

But the important question to ask is what has served main foundation for the ballooning wealth class? Has it been economic freedom, cronyism or monetary induced bubbles?

From the same article,
While a lack of public disclosure can make it difficult to estimate exact wealth, Indonesia’s bulging batch of billionaires shows that family fortunes have been largely protected across the archipelago even as most of the world struggles with a slowdown.

And though Indonesia’s billionaires club is still smaller than the ranks in China (more than 100 billionaires) and India (more than 50 billionaires), with less.
It is not clear what “family fortunes have been largely protected across the archipelago” really means. Cronyism perhaps?

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Although, the Indonesian government appears to have adapted more business friendly policies, economic freedom has been substantially been improving since 2008 (Heritage Foundation)

Also, Indonesia has embarked on genuine fiscal reforms since the Asian crisis. 

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Indonesia’s government debt to GDP ratio has been pared to only 25% from 67.8% in 2008.

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On the other hand, Indonesia’s economy has likewise been experiencing a credit boom from easy money policies.

Domestic loans have picked up substantially over the recent years, but still have been significantly below the levels of the Asian crisis (both charts above from tradingeconomics.com)

Nevertheless, the methodology used to arrive at the respective wealth estimates are from stakes held by these billionaires of publicly listed companies and for non-publicly listed private firms, indirectly through comparisons with publicly listed contemporaries.

And from such perspective, we can see from the charts below why Indonesia has overtaken Japan.

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Charts of Indonesia’s JKSE and Japan’s Nikkei from Chartsrus.com

Indonesia’s JKSE has been skyward compared to Japan’s seemingly perpetual stagnation post bubble bust of the early 90s 

The jury is out on whether Indonesia’s recent gains has emanated mostly from either increased productivity due to a freer economy or from monetary policy induced bubbles.

Admittedly, economies are complex such that three factors (market economy, cronyism and monetary bubbles) may simultaneously be in operation, the point is which among them is likely the bigger force or influence.

Friday, March 11, 2011

The World’s Top Billionaires: List of Emerging Market Billionaires Grows

A little over half of the world’s new billionaires hail from Emerging Markets, particularly from the BRIC (Brazil,Russia, India, China)

According to Forbes,

Brazil, Russia, India and China produced 108 out of the 214 new names added. Lakshmi Mittal of ArcellorMittal fame topped the list at No. 6 among the rich guys in the BRIC countries. His net worth was put at $31.5 billion. ArcellorMittal is the world’s largest steel maker. Brazilian investor and owner of a number of oil and mining companies, Eike Batista, will probably forever be known as the man who helped bring the 2016 Summer Olympics to Rio de Janeiro. His net worth is around $30 billion. Not bad being the son of the guys behind the world’s leading iron ore exporter, Brazilian multinational Vale.

Others in the Top 20:

9. Mukesh Ambani, India, Reliance Industries, $27 billion
11. (This name is perfect…with a name like this, you have to be filthy rich) Li Ka-Shing, China, Hutchinson Whampoa, $26 billion
14. Vladimir Lisin, Novolipetsk Steel, $24 billion

see list here

Let me add that among the top 500, there are lots of non-BRIC emerging markets billionaires. The distribution appears diffused where some are from Latin America (Columbia, Chile, Mexico, Argentina) MENA (Saudi Arabia, South Africa) and ASEAN.

For ASEAN region we have:

Malaysia: Robert Kuok, Lee Shin Cheng, Quek Leng Chan, Teh Hong Piao, Syed Mokhtar AlBukhary and Yeoh Tiong Lay & family

Philippines: Henry Sy (ranked 173rd)

Indonesia: Michael Hartono, Peter Sondakh, Martua Sitorus and Low Tuck Kwong

Thailand: Charoen Sirivadhanabhakdi

The growing list of Emerging Market billionaires are just symptomatic of the wealth convergence happening from today’s ‘globalized’ environment.

Thursday, January 01, 2009

2008 Trivia: Lobby, Bailouts and Losses

2008 ushered in a season for lobbying, bailouts and record losses…

First, amidst the present financial crisis, the lobbying business is now booming as Washington decides the winners and losers…

This from thehill.com, ``At the top of the economic agenda, however, is an economic stimulus package that could reach $850 billion, ranking among the biggest federal expenditures in history. Democratic leaders are drafting the package now in hopes of passing it before Obama takes the oath of office.

``With so much money on the table, lobbyists are working late into the holiday season to pitch their clients’ needs to the bill’s authors…

``Tony Podesta, a high-profile Democratic lobbyist, said it’s too risky for companies to cut their lobbying budgets when Congress is poised to pass landmark legislation. If anything, he said, it’s time to increase spending.

“Lobbyists and discounters may be the only people who grow,” he said"

Two, the lobbying interests has been expanding to cover almost every industry.

Some projects or programs floated or proposed by state and local officials include (Washington Post):

· $4.8 million for a polar bear exhibit in Rhode Island.

· $100 million to redevelop land for a casino in Philadelphia.

· $13 million in improvements in Las Vegas, much of it for a pedestrian bridge at the Tropicana hotel-casino.

· A yet-to-be-determined amount for a proposed $50 million museum in Las Vegas devoted to organized crime.

· $6 million for snow-making and maintenance facilities at Spirit Mountain, Minn.

So former President of Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, William Poole is absolutely right when he said, “Everyone knows that a policy of bailouts will increase their number.

Next, across the pond, the bailout response has likewise been a contagion; the floundering “native” cheese making industry of Italy is getting rescued too! Italy’s government will be buying nearly 200,000 wheels cheese to be distributed to charity.



Courtesy of the Independent.co.uk

According to the Independent, ``Parmigiano Reggiano, Italy's King of Cheese, is in trouble. Robust in flavour and crumbly, it is a classic of Italy's artisan food traditions, made by hand by 430 craft producers around the city of Parma. But with Italian consumption falling as costs soar, almost a third of producers now face bankruptcy. Now Italy's Minister of Agriculture, Luca Zaia, has come to the rescue, promising to buy 100,000 Parmigiano Reggiano cheeses, and also 100,000 of its less costly competitor, Grana Padano.

``This is Italy's big cheese bailout. Essentially, the government will be gobbling up 3 per cent of Parmesan production at an estimated cost of €50m (£44.7m) and distributing it to the needy. Each 35kg wheel of Parmigiano costs between €8 and €8.50 to make, but the wholesale price has declined for the past four years even as the cost of milk and energy has soared.”

Of course, not everyone will be pleased since others belonging to the same industry won’t be as privileged. From the Telegraph, ``Producers of Italy's other celebrated cheese - buffalo mozzarella - are looking on enviously after suffering an 18 per cent drop in sales in the last year. "We've asked for help too," said Vincenzo Oliviero, the head of Italy's mozzarella producers association, which has yet to receive an injection of state aid."

See what we mean by government deciding the winners and losers?

Going back to the US, the government spending binge has also been creating some sets of new problems in terms of project efficacies, transparency and accountability.

This from Yahoo.news, ``Government officials overseeing a $700 billion bailout have acknowledged difficulties tracking the money and assessing the program's effectiveness.

``More broadly, the officials discussed "the difficulty of isolating the effects" of the bailout program "given the variety of policy actions taken by the U.S. government to support financial stability and promote economic growth."

``The officials also noted the "difficulties associated with monitoring the use of specific funds" provided to individual financial institutions, according to the document…

``The government has pledged to provide $250 billion to banks in return for partial ownership. The goal is for banks to use the money to boost lending. However, a recent review by The Associated Press found that after receiving billions in aid from U.S. taxpayers, the nation's largest banks can't say exactly how they're spending the money. Some wouldn't even talk about it.

``The idea behind the capital injection program is for banks to use the money to rebuild reserves and lend more freely to customers. However, banks do have leeway to use the money for other things, such as buying other banks, paying dividends to investors or bonuses to executives. That's touched a nerve with some lawmakers and other critics."

Talk about first few signs of unintended consequences.

The year won’t be complete without the tabulation of government money earmarked for rescue and stimulus programs and of estimates for market and economic losses from the financial crisis.

Some excerpts from the tally sheet of Bloomberg’s Alexis Leondis,

``$30: Approximate amount, in trillions, erased from the value of stocks worldwide.


Bloomberg: World Market Cap index

``$8.6: Amount, in trillions, of taxpayer money the U.S. government has pledged to prop up cash-strapped financial companies as of Nov. 25, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

``$61,871: Maximum amount the bailout could cost each taxpayer, based on 139 million tax returns filed last year.

``$882: Amount, in billions, of U.S. currency in circulation, according to Bloomberg data.

``$613: Amount, in billions, listed as liabilities when Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. filed for the biggest bankruptcy in U.S. history.

``$150: Amount, in billions, of taxpayer money pledged to help American International Group Inc.

```11.7: Number, in millions, of households that owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth, according to Zillow.com

Read the rest here.


From New York Times

Additional losses from hedge funds and stock mutual funds, as noted by Bloomberg, ``It has been a year of record misery: the largest bankruptcy, bank failure and Ponzi scheme in U.S. history; $720 billion in writedowns and losses by financial institutions; $30.1 trillion in market valuation wiped out.

``Hedge funds lost 18 percent of their value for the year through November, the worst year since record-keeping began in 1990, according to Chicago-based Hedge Fund Research Inc. Morgan Stanley estimated that, by year end, at least 620 hedge funds will have closed.

``At bottom, the debacle amounted to a loss of faith, especially for individual investors. They pulled $215.7 billion from stock mutual funds in the first 11 months of the year, according to Investment Company Institute, a Washington-based association. That compares with a $91 billion inflow of funds for the same period of 2007.

``As a result of those withdrawals and market losses, the total net assets in all types of mutual funds fell by $2.67 trillion in the first 11 months of 2008, the institute reported.”

Yet to complete the year’s amazing finish, Forbes presents a list of Billionaires shedding some of their networth with isolated accounts of billionaires going to a net worth of ZERO. (no intentional schadenfreude here but to depict that today's crisis hurt even those at the highest strata)

From Forbes “Billionaire Blow ups”,

``More than 300 of the 1,125 billionaires we tallied on our annual list last March have since lost at least $1 billion; several dozen lost more than $5 billion. The 10 richest from our 2008 rankings dropped some $150 billion of wealth, dragged down by steel tycoon Lakshmi Mittal, estranged brothers Mukesh and Anil Ambani and property baron K.P. Singh, who together dropped $100 billion. America's 25 biggest billionaire losers of 2008 lost a combined $167 billion.”

Click here for

In Pictures “Billionaire Blow Ups”

In Pictures “America's 25 biggest billionaire losers”