Saturday, December 19, 2009

Creative Destruction: Electronic Payments Over Cash And Checks

Creative destruction appears to be taking hold even in terms of the means to conduct payment.

In the United Kingdom, electronic payments appear to be getting the better of checks 'cheques', where the latter may be reckoned as passe.

According to Mint.com (bold highlights mine),

``This week, the British banks governing the UK Payments Council decided to phase out their check clearing system by October 2018. In effect, they set an expiration date for the use of paper checks (or “cheques” as they prefer). In a statement, the group’s chief, Paul Smee, noted: “There are many more efficient ways of making payments than by paper in the 21st century, and the time is ripe for the economy as a whole to reap the benefits of its replacement.”

``Like letters of credit, demands for payment and bills of exchange, bank drafts can trace their history to Roman times, when checks were known as “praescriptiones.Paper drafts analogous to today’s checks were in use in the Islamic world in the 9th century and as early as the 12th century Templars honored pilgrims’ checks from one chapter house to the next. In England, clearing houses have had responsibility for settling checks since the early 1800s (before that they were often cashed in coffee houses).

``Bankers complain that many British retailers don’t accept checks anymore, that young people don’t even have checkbooks, and that it’s costing them as much as a pound (about $1.63 today) to process every check. But the decision certainly has its critics—especially advocates for the elderly and small business owners. On one hand, a generation uncomfortable with electronics will be forced to risk carrying and handling more cash. On the other, mom and pop stores have one more disadvantage against giant competitors (some of whom are starting to act as banks themselves). The move will also put the “unbanked”, who have to pay fees to cash checks but also lack access to accounts capable of electronic payments.

``The cost of cash keeps going up while the cost of using credit cards and electronic payments keeps going down. More retailers accept credit cards than checks these days. But while US banks also worry about the costs of handling cash and checks, they aren’t likely to echo the UK decision any time soon. Yes, paper checks are increasingly rare in high-tech countries—whether advanced Scandinavian nations or developing/modernizing regions such as Africa—but the US doesn’t rate as high-tech when it comes to personal finance (present company excepted of course). It has lagged dramatically in the modernization of its financial traditions, such as implementing electronic payments, even compared to Britain."

In other words, technology has been bringing about the intensifying diffusion of the electronic mode of payment as primary means to conduct transactions with reduced reliance on the traditional cash and checks.

The caveat here is that facilitating payments via electronics can translate to more debts and could function as faster conduit for the expansion of circulation or bank credit (inflation).

Nevertheless in a cash society as the Philippines, where 40% of the economy is considered informal and where the penetration level of mobile phones is far greater than people with bank accounts, the likely primary mode of electronic payment that could take shape would be that of mobile banking.

According to CGAP, ``To root the global market sizing in real world data, CGAP, GSMA and McKinsey analyzed, unbanked consumers in the Philippines, where two of the global leaders in m-banking operate (Smart, and Globe). One half (1.6 million) of active mobile banking users in the Philippines are unbanked. Furthermore, 26 percent of active users have incomes below $5 per day. On average, unbanked mobile money users spent $1.9 more per month than peers who do not. This is a considerable gain for mobile operators who saw average revenues per user (ARPU) as low as $4.04 in the 4th quarter of 2008, according to Wireless Intelligence...

``Mobile money reaches a base of financially active people. In the Philippines, more than half of the people interviewed for the study reported using at least one financial product. This mirrors findings in other countries showing the poor to be active money managers. Savings is the most common financial product in the Philippines, with low-income mobile money users and nonusers reporting that they save an average of $34. Informal mechanisms for saving dominate the market.

``Ninety-eight percent of unbanked Filipinos receive their income in cash, and overwhelmingly use informal saving instruments, such as keeping their money at home in a safe hiding place, giving money to a friend or family to hold, or joining a saving club. CGAP and GSMA estimate low-income Filipinos save an estimated $450 million in informal, actively managed with frequent deposits and withdrawals."

In other words, market in spite of government interventions has always been looking for the best interests of consumers. In this case by facilitating an easier mode of conducting transactions via electronics, be it through mobile banking, credit and debit cards or others.

And if markets are always looking for a way satisfy consumers, the recent onrush to gold has likewise brought about a new form of Automated Teller Machines (ATM)- gold ATMs in Germany.

According to the Financial Times (last June)

``Germans, long attracted to the safety of solid gold, will soon be able to sate their appetite for the yellow metal as easily as buying a chocolate bar after plans were announced yesterday to install gold vending machines in airports and railway stations across the country.

``The venture by TG-Gold-Super-Markt, a company based near Stuttgart, aims to build on soaring retail interest in gold since the financial crisis shook confidence in other investments.

``"German investors have always preferred to hold a lot of personal wealth in gold, for historical reasons," said Thomas Geissler, the owner of the company. "They have twice lost everything."

``He hopes to install "Gold to go" machines in 500 locations in German-speaking countries this year."

It's a curiosity how gold can be fused with today's rapid technology and market based innovation trends.

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