Showing posts with label video interview. Show all posts
Showing posts with label video interview. Show all posts

Thursday, July 08, 2010

F. A. Hayek On Keynes: I Think He Would Have Been Fighting The Inflationary Policy

Here is a short video interview of F.A. Hayek in discussion of wage rates and the deflation during the British Depression of the 20s and 30s.(Hat tip Greg Ransom)




Some important quotes,

“While I’d spent a year analyzing in great detail his earlier book the Treatise on Money and then only to hear him by the time the second part of my criticism was published “oh I no longer believe in all that”, I didn’t want to invest more effort in criticising the general theory who’s success is still a puzzle to me, because it reverted to a very primitive idea which had been clearly refuted in the nineteenth century that there is a single relation between the demand-aggregate demand for final products and employment. So much so that Leslie Steven in the 1880s had pointed out “The test of a good economist is that he does not make that particular mistake. Well Keynes revived it and gave a plausible explanation and, I should add that he did not succeed while he lived. But when he died he was suddenly raised to sainthood.”

“The very last time I saw him about six weeks before his death...and talked to him after dinner and asked him whether he wasn’t alarmed by what his pupils naming two....were agitating for more expansion. when in fact, the danger was clearly inflation. He completely agreed with me and assured me my theory was frighteningly important in the 1930s when the question was of combating deflation. If inflation ever becomes a danger, I am going to turn around public opinion like this and six weeks later he was dead and couldn’t do it. I think he would have been fighting the inflationary policy.”

Thursday, April 29, 2010

Axel Merk On Greece: Political Resolve Needed On The Greece Crisis

Last night while I was scanning the TV, I came across and watched Bloomberg's Mark Crumpton's interview of Axel Merk President of Merk Mutual funds, whose insights are relevant to the ongoing concerns over Greece and the PIIGs

I scoured the internet and found the video (see below)...




Some notes:


-Spain is not a short term debt problem but very different structural issues (economic problem)


-This is not a monetary question, this is a political question. Is there political will to resolve Greece’s problem?


-would require policy measures that have teeth (to implement against Greece's profligacy)


-sovereign debt is a global issue


-there will be more sovereign downgrades outside the Eurozone.


-Collateral rules will be relaxed


-Any bailout should include Greek Banks.


-We like the Euro, others are fully priced.

-Euro is priced at an "end of the world scenario"