Friday, October 08, 2010

Global Debt Time Bomb

Here is a nice interactive counter of the world’s cumulative debt from the Economist.

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According to the Economist (bold emphasis mine)

The clock is ticking. Every second, it seems, someone in the world takes on more debt. The idea of a debt clock for an individual nation is familiar to anyone who has been to Times Square in New York, where the American public shortfall is revealed. Our clock shows the global figure for all (or almost all) government debts in dollar terms.

Does it matter? After all, world governments owe the money to their own citizens, not to the Martians. But the rising total is important for two reasons. First, when debt rises faster than economic output (as it has been doing in recent years), higher government debt implies more state interference in the economy and higher taxes in the future. Second, debt must be rolled over at regular intervals. This creates a recurring popularity test for individual governments, rather as reality TV show contestants face a public phone vote every week. Fail that vote, as the Greek government did in early 2010, and the country can be plunged into imminent crisis. So the higher the global government debt total, the greater the risk of fiscal crisis, and the bigger the economic impact such crises will have.

The global debt time bomb is no more than a symptom of the fundamental flaws of the fiat based money system which has been anchored on policies predicated on mainstream economics. As the Economist rightly points out, the larger the debt, the riskier the economic environment. Yet, there are two possible outcomes to these unsustainable conditions: massive inflation or default (restructuring).

Presently, policymakers are taking on the inflation path.

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