Wednesday, June 29, 2011

We are Living in the Best Years in over Two Thousand Years

The Economist has this interesting population weighted chart which shows that much of human history and progress has been happening during the 20th century up to the present.

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The Economist writes, (bold emphasis mine)

Since there are almost 7 billion people alive today, it follows that they are making seven times as much history as the 1 billion alive in 1811. The chart below shows a population-weighted history of the past two millennia. By this reckoning, over 28% of all the history made since the birth of Christ was made in the 20th century. Measured in years lived, the present century, which is only ten years old, is already "longer" than the whole of the 17th century. This century has made an even bigger contribution to economic history. Over 23% of all the goods and services made since 1AD were produced from 2001 to 2010, according to an updated version of Angus Maddison's figures.

The chart reveals how growth in population has coincided with economic output expansion.

And second and most importantly, that human progress from the last century through the current millennium has been exponential.

Perhaps Professor Deirdre McCloskey’s “Bourgeois Revaluation” accounts for as the pivotal factor for such astounding acceleration in the rate of progress.

As Professor Don Boudreaux writes of Professor McCloskey’s thesis, (bold emphasis mine)

Only when merchants, tinkerers and practical seekers of profit in markets came to be respected -- and to be widely spoken of with respect, even with admiration -- did the social status of the bourgeoisie increase enough to make membership in that group desirable to large numbers of people. And when this Bourgeois Revaluation happened, innovation skyrocketed.

It's this innovation -- mad, fevered, historically off-the-charts amounts of innovation -- that really is what we today call "capitalism."

I am glad to have lived in this generation and to be a part of and witness such magnificent phenomenon unfold before our eyes.

And I guess that despite all the risks and the prospective afflictions which could interrupt or disrupt on such trends, the best is yet to come. I think that we are transitioning towards the information age that should characterize even faster rate of innovations under more decentralized settings (governance included).

Remember, such feat came in spite of the 2 World Wars and the gruesome tragedies of the failed experiment of communism in the 20th century.

The above should serve as good tidings for our progenies.

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