So argues the ever stimulating author Matt Ridley
A chap called George Mitchell turned the gas industry on its head. Using just the right combination of horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing (fracking) – both well established technologies -- he worked out how to get gas out of shale where most of it is, rather than just out of (conventional) porous rocks, where it sometimes pools. The Barnett shale in Texas, where Mitchell worked, turned into one of the biggest gas reserves in America. Then the Haynesville shale in Louisiana dwarfed it. The Marcellus shale mainly in Pennsylvania then trumped that with a barely believable 500 trillion cubic feet of gas, as big as any oil field ever found, on the doorstep of the biggest market in the world.
The impact of shale gas in America is already huge. Gas prices have decoupled from oil prices and are half what they are in Europe. Chemical companies, which use gas as a feedstock, are rushing back from the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Mexico. Cities are converting their bus fleets to gas. Coal projects are being shelved; nuclear ones abandoned.
Rural Pennsylvania is being transformed by the royalties that shale gas pays (Lancashire take note). Drive around the hills near Pittsburgh and you see new fences, repainted barns and – in the local towns – thriving car dealerships and upmarket shops. The one thing you barely see is gas rigs. The one I visited was hidden in a hollow in the woods, invisible till I came round the last corner where a flock of wild turkeys was crossing the road. Drilling rigs are on site for about five weeks, fracking trucks a few weeks after that, and when they are gone all that is left is a “Christmas tree” wellhead and a few small storage tanks.
The International Energy Agency reckons there is quarter of a millennium’s worth of cheap shale gas in the world. A company called Cuadrilla drilled a hole in Blackpool, hoping to find a few trillion cubic feet of gas. Last month it announced 200 trillion cubic feet, nearly half the size of the giant Marcellus field. That’s enough to keep the entire British economy going for many decades. And it’s just the first field to have been drilled.
Read the rest here
Natural Gas prics shown in the 3 year chart above from stockcharts.com appears to have indeed decoupled from Oil (WTIC)
I would even suppose that the current prices of oil have also been affected by conversions or the expanded use of natural gas.
Shale gas is not only abundant and economically feasible but also environmental friendly and importantly representative of market’s preference as energy alternative over the favorites of politicians: renewables
Professor Mark Perry adds,
The chart above is from the Energy Information Administration and illustrates graphically the significant increases in natural gas production in recent years from increased drilling activity in the Marcellus Shale region of Pennsylvania. In only about a three-year period, natural gas production in the northeast United States has tripled from 1.5 billion cubic feet per day in July 2008 to more than 4.5 billion cubic feet per day by July 2011, with almost all of the increase coming from new drilling in Pennsylvania. The shale gas revolution in Pennsylvania has been responsible for America going from the ninth largest producer in the world ten year ago to the No. 1 producer in the world starting last year.
I would guess that the shale gas revolution will be a worldwide phenomenon which should wean away our dependence on oil. The net effect outside manipulation of money by governments should be to materially bring down or lower prices of energy.
On an investment perspective, prices of listed shale gas companies may reflect on such sanguine dynamic overtime.
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