I have pointed out that the ongoing tensions in the political spectrum in China may have been ideologically based.
Entrepreneurs in China may have grown enough political clout enough to challenge to the degenerative command and control political structure of the old China order.
And it seems as if the forces of decentralization seem to be getting the upper hand, as China undertakes further liberalization of their capital markets.
From the Bloomberg,
China accelerated the opening of its capital markets by more than doubling the amount foreigners can invest in stocks, bonds and bank deposits as the government shifts its growth model to domestic consumption from exports.
The China Securities Regulatory Commission increased the quotas for qualified foreign institutional investors to $80 billion from $30 billion, according to a statement on its website yesterday. Offshore investors will also be allowed to pump an extra 50 billion yuan ($7.95 billion) of local currency into the country, up from 20 billion yuan
China, the world’s second-biggest economy, has pledged this year to free up control of the yuan and liberalize interest rates as the government deepens reforms to revive growth and offset slowing exports and a cooling housing market. China needs to rely more on markets and the private sector as its export- oriented model isn’t sustainable, World Bank President Robert Zoellick said in February.
Here’s more
The regulator had granted a total of $24.6 billion in quotas to 129 overseas companies since the program first started in 2003 through the end of March. About 75 percent of assets were invested in Chinese stocks, with the rest in bonds and deposits, according to the statement.
The CSRC accelerated the program last month, granting a record $2.1 billion of quotas to 15 companies. It was more than the $1.9 billion in 2011 as a whole.
“The QFII program enhances our experience of monitoring and regulating cross-board investment and capital flows,” the CSRC said in the statement. “It is a positive experiment to further open up the market and achieve the yuan convertibility under the capital account.”
Premier Wen Jiabao is seeking to attract international investment as economic growth cools, prompting the benchmark Shanghai Composite Index to slump 24 percent in the past year. The country posted its largest trade deficit since at least 1989 in February as Europe’s sovereign-debt turmoil damped exports.
China needs to break a banking “monopoly” of a few big lenders that makes easy profits, Wen told private company executives in Fujian province yesterday, as cited by China National Radio.
Breaking up a privileged banking monopoly essentially transfers resources to the productive sector which should serve China well, as well as, serves as welcome and enriching news for Asia and the rest of the world.
And by liberalization of their capital markets, China will become more integrated with the world, and thus diffusing risks of brinkmanship geopolitics, or the risks of military confrontations.
Again such development adds evidence to my theory that the Spratlys tensions may have just been about political leverage or about helping promote indirectly the US arms sales.
Nevertheless, China has yet to face the harmful unintended consequences of her past and present Keynesian bubble policies.
However the long term is key, or far more important. The kind of reforms matters most.
And reforms that deepen economic freedom or laissez faire capitalism (away from state capitalism) in China and the attendant development of capital markets could likely mean that the rest of Asia may follow suit. The implication is that regional and domestic capital will less likely be recycled to the West, and instead would find more productive use at home or a ‘home bias’ for Asian investors.
Moreover, the crumbling welfare states of the west would mean more capital flows into the Asia as savings seek refuge from sustained policies of inflationism.
All these should accentuate my wealth convergence theory.
Of course, China’s strategy to liberalize her capital markets may also represent a move to challenge the US dollar standard.
Recently BRICs officials slammed US and Euro’s monetary “tsunami” policies and in the process has been contemplating to put up their version of a World Bank—joint development bank.
While these gripes have been valid, the latter’s action has little substance. What the other ex-China BRICs should to do is to mimic China’s path to rapidly liberalize their economy and their capital markets.
That’s because societal integration functions as a natural force when commercial activities or economic freedom intensifies.
As the great Ludwig von Mises wrote about the social effects of the division of labor,
Social cooperation means the division of labor.
The various members, the various individuals, in a society do not live their own lives without any reference or connection with other individuals. Thanks to the division of labor, we are connected with others by working for them and by receiving and consuming what others have produced for us. As a result, we have an exchange economy which consists in the cooperation of many individuals. Everybody produces, not only for himself alone, but for other people in the expectation that these other people will produce for him. This system requires acts of exchange.
The peaceful cooperation, the peaceful achievements of men, are effected on the market. Cooperation necessarily means that people are exchanging services and goods, the products of services. These exchanges bring about the market. The market is precisely the freedom of people to produce, to consume, to determine what has to be produced, in whatever quantity, in whatever quality, and to whomever these products are to go. Such a free system without a market is impossible; such a free system is the market.
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