Thursday, September 13, 2012

Many Americans Opt Out of the Banking System

Perhaps mostly as a result of bad credit ratings from lingering economic woes, many Americans have turned into alternative means to access credit financing.

The following report from the Washington Post,

In the aftermath of one of the worst recessions in history, more Americans have limited or no interaction with banks, instead relying on check cashers and payday lenders to manage their finances, according to a new federal report.

Not only are these Americans more vulnerable to high fees and interest rates, but they are also cut off from credit to buy a car or a home or pay for college, the report from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. said.

Released Wednesday, the study found that 821,000 households opted out of the banking system from 2009 to 2011 and that the so-called unbanked population grew to 8.2 percent of U.S. households.

That means that roughly 17 million adults are without a checking or savings account. Another 51 million adults have a bank account, but use pawnshops, payday lenders or rent-to-own services, the FDIC said. This underbanked population has grown from 18.2 percent to 20.1 percent of households nationwide.

The study also found that one in four households, or 28.3 percent, either had one or no bank account. A third of these households said they do not have enough money to open and fund an account. Minorities, the unemployed, young people and lower-income households are least likely to have accounts.

This serves as proof that despite the lack of access through the conventional banking system, substitutes will arise to replace them. Demand for credit has always been there. Such dynamic resonates with the post bubble bust era known as the Japan’s lost decade.

I may add that people opting out of the banking system may not at all be about bad credit ratings, they could also represent manifestations of an expanding informal economy in the US. Chart below from Bloomberg-Businessweek includes undocumented immigrant labor, home businesses, and freelancing that escape the attention of tax authorities.

image

Over the past decade, the informal economy has been gradually ascendant even for developed nations. Advancement in technology may have partly contributed to this.

Although the recession of 2001 (dot.com bust) and the attendant growth in regulations, welfare and ballooning bureaucracies may have been the other principal factors.

My guess is that the post-Lehman era, which highlights governments desperate to shore up their unsustainable fiscal conditions, may only intensify the expansion of the informal economies even in the developed world.

Add to this the growing concerns over the economic viability of the banking system and continued innovation in technology (e.g. P2P Lending, Crowd Sourcing and etc…), the traditional banking system will be faced with competition from non-traditional sources.

No comments: