Monday, September 17, 2012

Parallel Universe: Singapore Exports Fall, Stock Market Surges

It’s a bizarre world. We seem to live in a “parallel universe” or a separate reality coexisting with one’s own (Wikipedia.org)

On the one hand, you have soaring financial markets.

On the other hand, signs of a staggering real economy have become more evident.

Singapore’s self-contradicting financial markets and the real economy seem like a good example.

From Bloomberg,

Singapore’s exports fell more than economists estimated in August as shipments of electronics dropped and companies sold fewer goods to Europe.

Non-oil domestic exports slid 10.6 percent from a year earlier, after a revised 5.7 percent increase in July, the trade promotion agency said in a statement today. The decline exceeded all 15 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey, where the median was for a 4 percent drop…

Singapore’s electronics shipments by companies such as Venture Corp. fell 11 percent in August from a year earlier, after climbing 2 percent the previous month.

Non-electronics shipments, which include petrochemicals and pharmaceuticals, decreased 10.4 percent. Petrochemicals exports gained 1.3 percent, while pharmaceutical shipments slid 3.2 percent after rising 1.3 percent in July.

Singapore’s non-oil exports fell a seasonally adjusted 9.1 percent last month from July, when they dropped 3.6 percent, today’s report showed.

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Who says economic growth drives stock market prices? Singapore’s STI has been up an amazing 16.02% year-to-date as of Friday’s close, even as annual economic growth rate has been faltering. (chart from tradingeconomics.com)

Central bank policies have nurtured a parallel universe.

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