Thursday, April 28, 2016

In Socialist Venezuela, Even Money Printers Run Out of Money to Print

When governments spend more than the tax revenues and or resources it generates, they eventually first run out of money. And if they continue to do so, they then eventually lose access to credit or money.

And given the dearth of resources, desperate governments usually resort to internal financing or the monetization of political spending via the printing press or the modern day printers the digital press (inflationism).

These usually ends up with the destruction of the currency via inflationism—hyperinflation

All these goes to show that the more a society relies on government, the more funding pressures, the greater the risk of inflation or even hyperinflation.

Well, when it comes to impoverishing constituencies through inflationism, socialism provides many modern day examples.

And one of the shining template has been current developments at Venezuela

UK’s former Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher once said that “The problem with socialism is that eventually you run out of other people's money [to spend].”

In socialist Venezuela, Ms. Thatcher’s keen observations can be construed literally. To paraphrase: The problem with socialism is that eventually you run out of money to print.

From Bloomberg:
Venezuela’s epic shortages are nothing new at this point. No diapers or car parts or aspirin -- it’s all been well documented. But now the country is at risk of running out of money itself.

In a tale that highlights the chaos of unbridled inflation, Venezuela is scrambling to print new bills fast enough to keep up with the torrid pace of price increases. Most of the cash, like nearly everything else in the oil-exporting country, is imported. And with hard currency reserves sinking to critically low levels, the central bank is doling out payments so slowly to foreign providers that they are foregoing further business.

Venezuela, in other words, is now so broke that it may not have enough money to pay for its money.

This article is based on interviews with a dozen industry executives, diplomats and former officials as well as internal company and central bank documents. All of the companies declined official comment; the central bank did not respond to numerous requests for interviews and comment.

Here’s more

The story began last year when the government of President Nicolas Maduro tried to tamp down a growing currency shortfall. Multi-million-dollar orders were placed with a slew of currency makers ahead of December elections and holidays, when Venezuelans throng banks to cash their bonuses.

At one point, instead of a public bidding process, the central bank called an emergency meeting and asked companies to produce as many bills as possible. The companies complied, only to find payments not fully forthcoming.

Last month, De La Rue, the world’s largest currency maker, sent a letter to the central bank complaining that it was owed $71 million and would inform its shareholders if the money were not forthcoming. The letter was leaked to a Venezuelan news website and confirmed by Bloomberg News.

“It’s an unprecedented case in history that a country with such high inflation cannot get new bills,” said Jose Guerra, an opposition law maker and former director of economic research at the central bank. Late last year, the central bank ordered more than 10 billion bank notes, surpassing the 7.6 billion the U.S. Federal Reserve requested this year for an economy many times the size of Venezuela’s.

The above shows of the continuing to collapse by Venezuela’s currency the bolivar

The following accounts for Venezuela’s implied inflation rates (monthly and annually). (charts from Cato's Troubled Currencies web page)

Socialism has populist appeal, but they are uneconomical or unviable. 

At the end of the day, the socialism equates to social decay. Venezuela should serve as a paragon.

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