Showing posts with label Keith Weiner. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Keith Weiner. Show all posts

Thursday, November 05, 2015

Quote of the Day: Monetary Policy Makes People Excited to Destroy their Wealth

For over three decades, the interest rate has been falling. This causes all asset prices to rise. Rising asset prices incentivize people to consume their capital (as I’ve written in many articles). In short, it’s a process of converting someone’s wealth into someone else’s income. The owner of the wealth would never consume it, but the recipient of income is happy to consume most of it. 

Everyone has seen traders and money managers driving expensive cars and dining in high end restaurants. There’s nothing wrong with making a lot of money and spending it. The problem I am describing is not that they make a lot of money, but that the money they make does not come from producing anything of value. It’s other people’s life savings that they are driving and eating.

This is the difference between monetary policy and tax or regulatory policy. Monetary policy makes people excited to destroy their wealth. There is no other kind of government intrusion in the market that sets off such a feeding frenzy of self-destructive behavior.

How does it do this? It makes it profitable to do so. Why does someone hand over his wealth to someone else for consumption? He buys an asset in the hope that it will go up further in price. So long as asset prices are rising, people exchange their capital for a chance to win cash in the falling interest rate game.

Most people would say that the problem is when assets fall again. They miss the point. The destruction occurs when the price is rising, and winners are spending their profits which are others’ accumulated savings. The accounting catches up eventually when prices fall back down, and then losses are taken.
This excerpt is from an article entitled “What’s Different about Monetary Policy?” written by Keith Weiner, president of the Gold Standard Institute USA in Phoenix, Arizona, and CEO of the precious metals fund manager Monetary Metals, published at the CobdenCenter.org

Update: Sorry for the small font. No matter how I try to increase the size of the font to normal, it reverts to the smallest.

Saturday, March 28, 2015

Quote of the Day: Bubbles Don't Create Wealth

Bubbles do not produce new goods and services. They don’t create new wealth. For example, there was a copper bubble from 2009 to 2011. The price of copper more than tripled from $1.40 a pound to $4.60. Lots of people bet on it. Consider the fictional case of Joe, who bought $100,000 worth of copper. A few months later, he sold some. He took a profit, yet he still has $100,000 worth of metal. There is an old saying that you can’t have your cake and eat it too. And yet here’s Joe, who still has his money and he bought a motorcycle also. It’s not possible to consume without producing. Yet, while Joe’s copper wager produced nothing new, he consumed the bike. Logically, if Joe did not consume new production then he must be consuming old production. Joe consumed part of his savings. Joe doesn’t see the loss, because he is only thinking in dollars. Instead of looking at the trade in terms of paper, let’s focus on the loss of metal. Joe starts out with 15 tonnes of metal. He sells four to buy that new Harley, and has 11 left. Joe spent a big chunk of his copper, and now he has less. Most people don’t want to eat their capital. However, in a bubble they’re tricked. They think copper went up, but it’s just a mirage. In reality, the copper only went out—out the door. Now it’s gone. Speculating may seem similar to earning interest, but it achieves the opposite result. Interest creates new income by financing new production. Speculative gains come from paying out existing capital as income, and consuming it. We are all harmed by this destruction. Interest rate suppression undermines our civilization. It destroys the capital on which it depends.
This is from Keith Weiner president of the Gold Standard Institute USA and CEO of precious metals fund manager Monetary Metals published at the SNBCHF.com