Another instance where math models, here applied to weather forecasting, has failed to live up to its much touted reputation (hat tip: Professor Russ Roberts)
From OttawaCitizen.com
Two top U.S. hurricane forecasters, famous across Deep South hurricane country, are quitting the practice of making a seasonal forecast in December because it doesn’t work.
William Gray and Phil Klotzbach say a look back shows their past 20 years of forecasts had no predictive value.
The two scientists from Colorado State University will still discuss different probabilities of hurricane seasons in December. But the shift signals how far humans are, even with supercomputers, from truly knowing what our weather will do in the long run.
Cheers to William Gray and Phil Klotzbach for admitting the truth.
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