Tuesday, April 09, 2013

War on Savings: Australia Doubles Retirement Taxes

Crisis or no crisis, Cyprus may have set a trend for governments to seek ways to tax private sector savings. 

Australia has reportedly doubled taxes on retirement savings.

Here is the eloquent Simon Black of the Sovereign Man
Though Australia’s national balance sheet is comparatively quite strong, the government has been running at a net deficit for years… and they’re under intense pressure to balance the budget.

The good news is that Australia now has a goodly number of investor-friendly immigration programs designed to bring productive foreigners into the country, similar to the trend we’re seeing across Europe.

On the flip side, though, the Australian government has just announced new rules which penalize citizens who have responsibly set aside savings for their own retirement.

Any income over A$100,000 drawn from a superannuation fund (the equivalent of an IRA in the United States) will now be taxed at 15%. Previously, all such income was tax-free.

The really offensive part about this is that the government is going to tax people’s savings ‘on both ends,’ meaning that people are taxed on money they move INTO the retirement fund, and now they can be taxed again when they pull money out.

The Cyprus debacle drew a line in the sand– fleecing people with assets, or income, in excess of 100,000 dollars, euros, etc. is now acceptable. This is the definition of ‘rich’ in the sole discretion of governments.

And make no mistake– if it can happen in Australia, which still has reasonable debt levels despite years of deficit spending, it can happen in bankrupt, insolvent nations like the US.
We can see from the following charts why.
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The Australian government has embarked on a spending spree since 2009. Australia’s fiscal balance has been deteriorating since.

This shows of the Emmanuel Rahm syndrome or Austrian economist Robert Higgs’ ratchet effect where crises have always been an excuse to justify government expansion.
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And by doing so Australia’s government has been ramping up debt. External debt grew by about 30% since 2009, while debt to gdp has began to reverse from years of austerity or fiscal “discipline”. 

And as I have earlier pointed out, Australia has also been manifesting signs of bubbles

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Australia’s credit to the private sector as % to gdp is now about 128%
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While the banking sectors exposure account for 145.76% of the gdp in 2011.
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And like almost every country, low interest rates have been a principal factor in driving credit expansion
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Despite the above, Australia’s stock market has hardly recovered from the 2008 global financial debacle. (all the wonderful charts above are from tradingeconomics.com)

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This means much of the credit expansion has been directed to the property sector, as measured by the phenomenal manic growth of housing prices (chart from vexnews). 

This proves that much of today's statistical economic growth have been Potemkin Villages

Yet once the global pandemic of bubbles pop, we can expect governments coordinate the dragooning of the public’s resources via more confiscation of savings to advance the interests of the political class via bailouts and more quack Keynesian fixes.

Of course this relationship will persist until people tolerate them. However, eventually the curse of the laffer curve will prevail or a financial repression (tax) revolt can also be an expected response.

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