Tuesday, October 01, 2013

The Symbiotic relationship between Crony Capitalism and the Welfare State

The welfare state has been built on the popular delusion that the major beneficiaries have been the underprivileged or the poor. 

In reality, such welfare programs favor the crony elitist class.

Austrian economist Gary North explains: (bold original)
October 1 is the day of the new fiscal year of the United States government. Little known to the general public, it is the supreme day of celebration for the American Establishment. Let me explain why. It has to do with government spending, specifically this: Who wins? Who pays?

The American welfare state is generally supported by the very rich. They clean up by means of the welfare state. Why? Because the welfare state is seen by political liberals as justifying the expansion of the federal government, and the federal government then protects the interests of the super rich. This has gone on for so long that it is astounding to me that the chattering class -- mostly Leftists -- does not understand it.

Leftist Democrats constantly lobby for more welfare state programs. They think the rich will pay for them. To see why this is silly, look at this pie chart on federal spending. Ask yourself: Who wins? Who pays?

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Look at defense spending. Who wins? A handful of large defense firms. This is fat city for the rich. It always has been.

Look at net interest payments. Do you think that money goes to the rich? What does the U.S. government pay? Under 3% a year. The super rich do not buy such low-paying investments. Who does? Retirement funds, insurance companies, money market funds, and banks. This rate of return is for the middle-classe. The interest rate returns after taxes do not keep up with price inflation. Who pays? The rich pay a good chunk of it as taxpayers. They do not care. Why not? Because this level of federal debt guarantees a huge federal government. With the government-enforced restricted-access profits they make, it's just a cost of doing business.

Now let's look at the biggies: Social Security and Medicare/Medicaid. They constitute 45% of federal spending. Who pays? Working stiffs. The Social Security taxable salary cutoff is about $110,000 a year. So, the worker and his employer pay about $16,000 a year, max. For the super rich, this tax is irrelevant -- invisible.

Do you see what the voters have done? They have created two gigantic, politically untouchable welfare programs that the working class finances. These programs are so huge that no new major spending program will be imposed. They have put a ceiling on the growth of the welfare state. The welfare state cannot touch them. They are now immune.

ObamaCare? The workers will pay. Small business owners will pay.

How about food stamps, called SNAP? This costs $75 billion a year. Who gets this money? Agribusiness. In short, food stamps are a subsidy to the super rich in the name of helping the poor.

The income tax was a problem, which went from 25% in the 1920s to 63% in 1932, to 79% in 1936, to 94% in 1944. Truman took it back to 91% in 1948, where it stayed until Kennedy, who got Congress to drop it to 70%. Reagan got it lowered in stages to 28% in 1988. No President since has got it above 40%.

We know that Americans will not accept federal taxes above 20% of GDP. In 1944, in World War II, it got to 20.8%. That was the top. So, the voters have placed a ceiling on total taxation. The federal government is at that ceiling. New programs must come from borrowing. When that gets cut off at low rates, as it will at some point, the welfare state will go belly-up, except for payments to oldsters.

The Left has shot its wad politically. There is no extra federal money to tap. The oldsters lay claim to the federal government's biggest welfare programs, and these programs are paid for by the working class, not the rich.
More on the the Middle class as carrying the cross of the poor….(bold mine)
Crony capitalism favors the super rich. The super rich are willing to pay income taxes to fund a small portion of the welfare state, because the bulk of the welfare state is funded by taxes on the middle class. The super rich don't pay much into Social Security and Medicare/Medicaid. The working class pays: "regressive" taxation. These are the largest welfare programs there are. The super rich avoid having to pay much of anything into the two largest welfare state programs there are. It is a sweet deal for the super rich. The federal government's regulatory apparatus keeps growing, and the super rich's balance sheets keep growing.
Add to this Bernanke’s and or the central bank dogma of promoting quasi permanent booms (bubble cycles) or asset inflation
 
The welfare state as protectionist shield in favor of cronies. (bold mine)
Crony capitalism removes the most important threat to the Establishment, namely, the threat of free market competition. It makes certain that existing large firms have the advantage. The existing large firms can afford the high-powered and highly expensive legal talent to make the system work for them. This locks out competitors whose only advantage is that they can serve the customer more efficiently. That doesn't count, because federal regulation makes it illegal for these firms to serve the customer.

From the point of view of the Establishment, the cost of the welfare state is chump change. The two big kahunas of the welfare state, Social Security and Medicare/Medicaid, are financed by the working class. So, they are no sweat off the brows of the super rich. These two programs make it impossible to expand any other major welfare programs. Even if we think of ObamaCare as such a program, it still serves the interests of the super rich, because it will make it more difficult for smaller firms to compete. Once you've established the dominant position in the market, you can afford lots of regulation. Regulation becomes a gigantic barrier to entry that is placed in front of your potential competitors.

The political Left sees that the rich are getting richer, and its response is always the same: more welfare state. They don't understand that the federal government is what has created the existing distribution of income, which favors the super rich. They don't learn that welfare state politics makes things worse for the poor. They have been barking up the wrong tree ever since 1896, when William Jennings Bryan got his first nomination by the Democratic Party for President. His candidacy killed the old Democracy, best represented by Grover Cleveland, a limited-government vision of politics, and firmly committed to low tariffs and the gold standard. It did not survive Bryan's three runs for the presidency.
Oh by the way, who has been benefiting from America’s existing healthcare programs?

Again it is the rich, from Zero Hedge: (bold original)
According to the latest data compiled by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, in 2010, just 1% of the population accounted for a whopping 21.4% of total health care expenditures with an annual mean expenditure of $87,570. Just below them, 5% of the population accounted for nearly 50% of all healthcare spending. Just as stunning is the "other" side: the lower 50 percent of the population ranked by their expenditures accounted for only 2.8% of the total for 2009 and 2010 respectively. Perhaps in addition to bashing the "1%" of wealth holders, a relatively straightforward and justified exercise in the current political climate, it is time for public attention to also turn to the chronic 1% (and 5%)-ers who are the primary issue when it comes to the debt-funding needed to preserve the US welfare state.

The spending distribution in chart format
see more charts here

Liberal media and their experts have served no more than mouthpieces for cronies. 

And another thing, this hasn't just been exclusively a US dynamic.

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