Tuesday, June 10, 2014

Venezuelan Hyperinflation: Prostitutes as Currency Traders

Implied inflation rates in Venezuela has been about 153% as against official rates of 59.34% (as of March 2014). This is based on estimates by CATO’s troubled currency project

So how are Venezuelans coping with such scenario? Well, aside from the government, prostitutes have been the biggest beneficiary. How? Because they are being paid in foreign currency!

From Bloomberg: (bold mine)
The arrival of a Liberian-flagged freighter with Ukrainian, Arab and Filipino sailors spells one thing for Elena -- dollars. And greenbacks are king in Venezuela, the 32-year-old prostitute says.

Within hours of hearing of the ship’s imminent arrival, she has packed her bags and is heading to the crumbling city of Puerto Cabello. It is a 450-kilometer (280-mile) journey from her home in the Western state of Zulia that Elena finds herself doing more often now as Venezuela’s economy contracts, the bolivar slumps and prices soar. 

Prostitutes more than double their earnings by moonlighting as currency traders in Puerto Cabello. They are the foreign exchange counter for sailors in a country where buying and selling dollars in the streets is a crime -- and prostitution isn’t. Greenbacks in the black market are worth 11 times more than the official rate as dollars become more scarce in an economy that imports 70 percent of the goods it consumes…
More…
The bolivar has fallen to 71 to the dollar from 23 on the black market since President Nicolas Maduro succeeded his mentor Hugo Chavez in April 2013. The government tightened currency handouts to stem the outflow of foreign reserves, which are near a decade low. The official exchange rate, reserved for imports of food and medicine, is 6.3 bolivars per dollar.

The dollar shortage is turning Venezuela into a two-tier society similar to the Soviet Union and Cuba, said Steve Hanke, professor of applied economics at Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore. Those with access to dollars such as prostitutes, tour agents, airport taxi drivers and expatriates are able to shield themselves from inflation by trading their greenbacks at ever higher rates. Those who can’t are seeing their living standards decline.
As the government smothers financial and economic activities the natural result has been a boom on the prostitution industry:
Officials have tried jailing traders, shutting down brokerages and setting up four parallel exchange systems to stem the rise of the unofficial rate in the 11 years since Chavez began controlling the bolivar’s price.

Prostitution has become the only boom industry in Venezuela’s biggest port. The Blue House brothel is clean and well-kept, with a patio and kitchen where women get three meals a day. Outside, the squares and cobbled streets of the colonial center stand in ruins, with the smell of sewage pervading the piles of garbage.
See what a policy of inflation does? It does not only destroy the people’s standard of living, they degrade humanity’s moral fiber.

This is a real time example of chief inflation exponent John Maynard Keynes’ observation of how inflationism annihilates society:
Lenin is said to have declared that the best way to destroy the capitalist system was to debauch the currency. By a continuing process of inflation, governments can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens. By this method they not only confiscate, but they confiscate arbitrarily; and, while the process impoverishes many, it actually enriches some. The sight of this arbitrary rearrangement of riches strikes not only at security but [also] at confidence in the equity of the existing distribution of wealth.
But neighboring Columbia has also been benefiting from the senseless hyperinflation policies by the Venezuelan government. Many of the Venezuelan government’s subsidized goods has found their way across the borders.

From the Wall Street Journal (old mine)
Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro's sliding popularity amid persistent street protests can be partly blamed on the humming smuggling market on this border, which shows how Colombia's unbridled free-market capitalism is eclipsing Venezuela's socialism and hurting ordinary Venezuelans.

When Norbis Berrocal, a homemaker on the Colombian side, buys baby formula in a bustling street market here in Cúcuta for a fraction of the usual retail price, Venezuela indirectly pays the rest.

"We're lucky to have Venezuela so close by," said Ms. Berrocal, as she bought a case of infant formula for shipment to relatives in Colombia's interior.

She is one of many Colombian consumers who benefit from a massive smuggling trade involving subsidized and price-controlled goods from oil-rich Venezuela—including near-free gasoline, car parts, corn flour and deodorant, all bought cheap in Venezuela and marked up before being sold here.

With its heavy intervention in the economy, Venezuela now imports three-quarters of what it consumes but loses a third of its goods to illegal cross-border trade, its government estimates. Some economists say Caracas exaggerates the smuggling problem to mask its own inability to keep supermarkets stocked.

The scarcity has eroded Mr. Maduro's popularity to a low of 37%, as recent polls show food shortages surpass rampant crime as citizens' top concern.
The informal economy pushes back against repressive regimes. This is real life economics in action.

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