Wednesday, October 03, 2012

Signs of Dancing on the Grave of Keynesianism

Yesterday my quote of the day was about Austrian economist Gary North’s prediction of the twilight of the Keynesian political economy.


Apparently 6 of them represent symptoms of Mr. North’s prophesy.

The 6 signs from Simon Black:
3) Last month, a school district in California sold $164 million worth of bonds at 12.6% interest; this is more than Pakistan, Botswana, and Ecuador pay in the international bond market.

4) Based on the Treasury’s most recent statistics, US government interest payments to China will total at least $26.055 billion this year. The real figure may be much higher given that China has been purchased Treasuries for decades, back when interest rates were much higher. They’re still getting paid on those higher rates today.

Even still, this year’s interest payment to China totals more than ALL the silver that was mined in the world last year.

5) In August 2008, just before the Lehman Brothers collapse, the number of employed persons in the United States was 145.47 million persons. Over the subsequent years, the employment figure dipped to as low as 139.27 million. Today it stands at 142.1 million.

Even if this is considered recovery, to ‘rescue’ those 2.8 million jobs, it took the federal government an additional $6.421 trillion worth of debt ($2.3 million per job), and a $1.9 trillion (203%) expansion of the Federal Reserve balance sheet.

6) Meanwhile, despite trillions of euros in debt and bailouts, the unemployment rate in the eurozone just hit a record high of 11.4%… and a second Spanish bailout is now imminent.

7) Inflation in Zimbabwe (3.63%) is lower than inflation in the UK (3.66%, August 2011-July 2012).

8) Last week, the French government reached a ‘historic’ budget compromise, shooting for a budget deficit that’s ‘only’ 3% of GDP. This is based on an assumption that the economy will grow by 0.8%.

In other words, France’s official public debt (which is already at 91% of GDP) will increase by 2.2% of GDP next year amid flat growth. And this is what these people consider progress.

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From Cato’s Dan Mitchell

To add, last month the French government approved of the 75% tax on those earning over one million euros a year — by holding public spending and not cutting government jobs (IBD). So the French class warfare policy essentially kills the proverbial goose that lays the golden eggs.

So by maintaining the unproductive segments of a society who entirely depends on the shrinking the productive sectors, French politicians believe that the Santa Claus Fund will never end and instead would bring about prosperity.

The populist measures undertaken by the French government essentially assures of the diffusion and the intensification of the Euro crisis which most likely serves as the death warrant for the euro.

Events in France will perhaps herald the coming global debt default that will engulf most of developed nations and emerging economies whose economies have been predicated on the Keynesian parasitical relationship welfare-warfare states.

In a world of politics, common sense is uncommon specially backed by obtuse theories moored on the belief of the Philosopher’s stone of turning lead into gold.

As the distinguished Ron Paul recently wrote,
It's because too many politicians believed that a free lunch was possible and a new economic paradigm had arrived. But we've heard that one before — like the philosopher's stone that could turn lead into gold. Prosperity without work is a dream of the ages.

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